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2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia
The 2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the
2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the
District of Columbia will participate.
West Virginia voters will choose electors to represent them in the
Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of West Virginia has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following
reapportionment due to the
2020 United States census in which the state lost one congressional seat.
[1]
West Virginia was Trump's strongest state in
2016 and second-strongest state in
2020 . Trump is expected to easily win the state again in 2024.
Incumbent Democratic president
Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.
[2]
Primary elections
Democratic primary
The West Virginia Democratic presidential primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside the
Maryland and
Nebraska primaries. 25 delegates (20 pledged and 5 unpledged) to the
Democratic National Convention were allocated to presidential candidates.
[3]
Four candidates have been certified to appear on the primary ballot:
[4]
Results
West Virginia Democratic primary, May 14, 2024
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Pledged
Unpledged
Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)
68,098
70.5%
20
Jason Palmer
11,064
11.5%
Stephen Lyons (withdrawn )
7,368
7.6%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn )
7,214
7.5%
Armando Perez-Serrato
2,783
2.9%
Total:
96,527
100.0%
20
5
25
Source:
[5]
Republican primary
The West Virginia Republican presidential primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside the
Maryland and
Nebraska primaries. 31 delegates to the
2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis.
[6]
Five candidates have been certified to appear on the primary ballot:
[4]
Results
West Virginia Republican Primary, May 14, 2024
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
198,436
88.4%
32
Nikki Haley (withdrawn )
21,123
9.4%
Rachel Swift
2,311
1.0%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn )
1,476
0.7%
David Stuckenberg
1,162
0.5%
Total:
224,508
100.0%
32
32
Source:
[7]
Mountain primary
The Mountain primary (the state's
Green Party affiliate) is scheduled to be held on May 14, 2024.
Only one candidate was certified to appear on the primary ballot,
[4] who will receive all 4 of the state's pledged delegates:
[8]
General election
Predictions
Polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Donald TrumpRepublican
Joe BidenDemocratic
Other / Undecided
Kaplan Strategies
June 4, 2024
464 (LV)
± 4.6%
55%
28%
17%
[a]
Emerson College
October 1–4, 2023
539 (RV)
± 4.2%
59%
23%
18%
See also
Notes
^ Jill Stein (Mountain Party) with 2%
References
^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021).
"Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats" .
NPR .
Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023 .
^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023).
"Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision" . CNBC .
^
"West Virginia Democratic Delegation 2024" . www.thegreenpapers.com . Retrieved February 4, 2024 .
^
a
b
c
"Who is running for election in West Virginia?" . ballotpedia.org . February 4, 2024. Retrieved February 4, 2024 .
^
"West Virginia Presidential Primary Election Results 2024" . NBC News. Retrieved May 14, 2024 .
^
"West Virginia Republican Presidential Nominating Process" . thegreenpapers.com . October 13, 2023. Retrieved November 18, 2023 .
^
"West Virginia Presidential Primary Election Results 2024" . NBC News. Retrieved May 14, 2024 .
^
"Apportionment of GPUS National Committee 2023 and GPUS Presidential Nominating Convention 2024" . GPUS National Committee. Retrieved February 3, 2024 .
^
"2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings" . cookpolitical.com .
Cook Political Report . December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024 .
^
"Presidential Ratings" . insideelections.com .
Inside Elections . April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024 .
^
"2024 Electoral College ratings" . centerforpolitics.org .
University of Virginia Center for Politics . June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024 .
^
"2024 presidential predictions" . elections2024.thehill.com/ .
The Hill . December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024 .
^
"2024 Presidential Forecast" . projects.cnalysis.com/ .
CNalysis . December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024 .
^
"Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270" .
CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024 .
^
"Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model" .
The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024 .
^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024).
"2024 Election Forecast" . FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved June 11, 2024 .
^
"2024 RCP Electoral College Map" . RealClearPolitics . June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024 .
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