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2024 United States Senate election in Virginia
The 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the
United States Senate to represent the
Commonwealth of Virginia . Incumbent
Democratic Senator
Tim Kaine is running against navy veteran and nonprofit founder Hung Cao for re-election to a third term in office. Kaine was re-elected with 57.0% of the vote in
2018 . Primary elections took place on June 18, 2024.
[1]
Background
Virginia is considered to be a moderately
blue state at the federal level, with
Joe Biden carrying Virginia by about 10 percentage points in the
2020 presidential election . Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, a majority in its
U.S. representative congressional delegation, and both houses of the
Virginia General Assembly . However, Republicans flipped all three statewide constitutional offices in the
2021 elections .
[2]
[3]
[4]
Kaine was first elected in
2012 by 6 points, defeating former U.S. Senator
George Allen , and won re-election in
2018 by 16 points.
[5]
[6]
This race is considered to be clearly favoring Kaine as he is popular amongst Virginian voters and typically over-performs other down-ballot candidates.
[7]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Endorsements
Tim Kaine
U.S representatives
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of May 29, 2024
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Tim Kaine (D)
$14,583,509
$8,488,125
$8,615,046
Source:
Federal Election Commission
[23]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Hung Cao
U.S. Presidents
Individuals
Scott Parkinson
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Jim Banks , U.S. representative from
Indiana (2017–present)
[32]
Andy Biggs , U.S. representative from
Arizona (2017–present)
[32]
Dan Bishop , U.S. representative from
North Carolina (2019–present)
[32]
Lauren Boebert , U.S. representative from
Colorado (2021–present)
[34]
Josh Brecheen , U.S. representative from
Oklahoma (2023–present)
[32]
Eli Crane , U.S. representative from
Arizona (2023–present)
[32]
Bob Good . U.S. representative from
Virginia (2021–present)
[35]
Byron Donalds , U.S. representative from
Florida (2021–present)
[33]
Mary Miller , U.S. representative from
Illinois (2021–present)
[33]
Barry Moore , U.S. representative from
Alabama (2021–present)
[32]
Anna Paulina Luna , U.S. representative from
Florida (2023–present)
[32]
Scott Perry , U.S. representative from
Pennsylvania (2013–present)
[33]
August Pfluger , U.S. representative from
Texas (2021–present)
[33]
Matt Rosendale , U.S. representative from
Montana (2021–present)
[32]
Jason Smith , U.S. representative from
Missouri (2013–present)
[33]
Individuals
Organizations
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of May 29, 2024
Candidate
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Hung Cao (R)
$2,508,562
$2,398,405
$202,637
Jonathan Emord (R)
$932,828
[a]
$897,923
$34,905
Eddie Garcia (R)
$340,558
$315,309
$25,249
Scott Parkinson (R)
$930,240
$601,089
$329,151
Chuck Smith (R)
$556,762
$536,262
$20,499
Source:
Federal Election Commission
[23]
Results
Results by county: 30–40%
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
Independents
Filed paperwork
Jonathan Hardin
[39]
Csaba Menezes Rusznak, attorney
[40]
Tiger Xiong
[41]
General election
Predictions
Endorsements
Endorsements in bold were made after the primary elections.
Tim Kaine (D)
U.S representatives
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Hung Cao (R)
U.S. Presidents
Individuals
Polling
Hypothetical polling
Tim Kaine vs. Glenn Youngkin
Results
Notes
^ $528,167 of this total was self-funded by Emord
^
a
b Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ None/Would not vote with 2%, other with 1%
^ None/Would not vote with 5%, other with 5%
^ Poll sponsored by Virginians Against Neighborhood Slot Machines
References
^
"2024 State Primary Election Dates" . www.ncsl.org . Retrieved May 13, 2023 .
^
"Live election results: 2020 Virginia results" . www.politico.com . Retrieved April 20, 2023 .
^ Oliver, Ned (March 3, 2021).
"Democrats have controlled Virginia government for two years. Here's what they've done" . Virginia Mercury . Retrieved April 20, 2023 .
^
"GOP sweeps statewide races with 2 down-ballot wins" . AP NEWS . November 2, 2021. Retrieved April 20, 2023 .
^
"Virginia Elections Database » 2012 U.S. Senate General Election" . Virginia Elections Database . Retrieved April 20, 2023 .
^
"Virginia | Full Senate results" . www.cnn.com . Retrieved April 20, 2023 .
^
a
b Flynn, Meagan; Vozzella, Laura (January 20, 2023).
"Va. Sen. Tim Kaine says he will seek another term" .
The Washington Post . Retrieved January 20, 2023 .
^
a
b
c
d
"GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Senator Tim Kaine for Reelection" . Giffords . February 22, 2024. Retrieved February 26, 2024 .
^
a
b
c
d
"NextGen PAC Endorses Senator Tim Kaine Ahead of 2024 Elections" .
NextGen America PAC . May 10, 2023. Retrieved May 10, 2023 .
^
a
b
"2024 – Feminist Majority PAC" . feministmajoritypac.org . Retrieved February 9, 2024 .
^
"Presenting the official Spring 2024 Harvard Dems Endorsement Results! Congratulations to all who were endorsed! 🫶🏻✨" . www.instagram.com . Retrieved February 8, 2024 .
^
a
b
"2024 Endorsements" . 2024 Endorsements . Retrieved March 25, 2024 .
^
a
b
"Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel" . Jewish Democratic Council of America . Retrieved May 10, 2024 .
^
a
b
"Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs" . jacpac.org . Archived from
the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023 .
^
"Tim Kaine" . JStreetPAC . October 16, 2023. Retrieved August 26, 2023 .
^
"LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements" . League of Conservation Voters . Retrieved July 27, 2023 .
^
"2024 Endorsed Candidates" . LGBT+ Democrats of Virginia . Retrieved May 6, 2024 .
^ NCPSSM.
"National Seniors' Advocacy Group Endorses Sen. Tim Kaine for Re-Election" . NCPSSM . Retrieved January 5, 2024 .
^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023).
"NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents" . NRDC Action Fund . Retrieved September 20, 2023 .
^
a
b
"2024 Endorsements" . Population Connection Action Fund . Retrieved August 25, 2023 .
^
a
b
"2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action" . www.sierraclubindependentaction.org . Retrieved January 14, 2024 .
^
"Virginia - COMPAC Endorsements" . United Mine Workers of America . Retrieved April 2, 2024 .
^
a
b
"2024 Election United States Senate - Virginia" . fec.gov .
Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023 .
^ Minock, Nick (July 18, 2023).
"Hung Cao launches website and files paperwork to run for 2024 US Senate race in Virginia" . WJLA.com .
^ Churchill, Victoria (January 31, 2023).
"Constitutional Litigator Jonathan Emord Announces U.S. Senate Run" . The Republican Standard . Retrieved January 31, 2023 .
^ Rankin, Sarah (January 20, 2023).
"Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia to seek reelection" .
AP News .
Archived from the original on January 20, 2023. Retrieved April 21, 2023 .
^ Rankin, Sarah (April 3, 2023).
"Scott Parkinson runs for Tim Kaine's seat" . The Virginia Pilot . Archived from
the original on April 3, 2023.
^ Martz, Michael (August 5, 2023).
"Meet the 8 Republicans (and counting) who want to unseat Sen. Tim Kaine" .
Richmond Times-Dispatch . Retrieved August 26, 2023 .
^
a
b Iannelli, Nick (May 27, 2024).
"Republican US Senate candidate in Virginia 'honored' to receive Trump endorsement" .
WTOP . Retrieved May 27, 2024 .
^
a
b
"A true patriot's endosement" . PoliticalEmails .
Archived from the original on February 23, 2024. Retrieved February 22, 2024 .
^
a
b
"U.S. SENATE CANDIDATE JONATHAN EMORD RECEIVES THE ENDORSEMENTS OF RON PAUL AND BARRY GOLDWATER, JR" . FOX 59 . March 14, 2023. Retrieved March 15, 2023 .
^
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
i Johnson, Julia (May 2023).
"Tim Kaine GOP challenger holds fundraiser with Trump and DeSantis supporters alike" . Washington Examiner . Retrieved January 13, 2024 .
^
a
b
c
d
e
f Hazard, Charlotte.
"Ex-DeSantis Hill staffer runs for U.S. Senate, says pandemic was his call for change" . Just the News . Retrieved January 13, 2024 .
^
a
b Shipley, Jonathan (May 31, 2023).
"Former Baraboo resident eyes Virginia Senate" . News Republic . Retrieved January 13, 2024 .
^ Martz, Michael (February 2, 2024).
"Here's how much money Sen. Tim Kaine has raised in bid for new term" . Richmond Times Dispatch. Retrieved April 21, 2024 .
^
a
b
"David N. Bossie and Citizens United Political Victory Fund Endorse Scott Parkinson for U.S. Senate from Virginia" . cupvf.com . April 24, 2023. Retrieved May 1, 2023 .
^ Cantor, Dave (March 20, 2024).
"These are the GOP candidates hoping to unseat Sen. Tim Kaine" . VPM . Retrieved May 5, 2024 .
^
"Candidates & Referendums June 18, 2024 Primary Elections" . elections.Virginia.Gov . April 15, 2024.
^
"HARDIN, JONATHAN T DR PH.D. - Candidate overview" . FEC.gov . Retrieved June 22, 2024 .
^
"RUSZNAK, CSABA MENEZES MR. JR. - Candidate overview" . FEC.gov . Retrieved June 22, 2024 .
^
"XIONG, TIGER DR. - Candidate overview" . FEC.gov . Retrieved June 22, 2024 .
^
"2024 Senate Race ratings" . Cook Political Report . Retrieved January 25, 2023 .
^
"Election Ratings" . Elections Daily . August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023 .
^
"Senate Ratings" .
Inside Elections . January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023 .
^
"2024 Senate" .
Sabato's Crystal Ball . January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023 .
^
"2024 Senate prediction map" . elections2024.thehill.com/ .
The Hill . June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024 .
^
" '24 Senate Forecast" . CNalysis . Retrieved November 21, 2023 .
^
"Presenting the official Spring 2024 Harvard Dems Endorsement Results! Congratulations to all who were endorsed! 🫶🏻✨" . www.instagram.com . Retrieved February 8, 2024 .
^
"Tim Kaine" . JStreetPAC . October 16, 2023. Retrieved August 26, 2023 .
^
"LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements" . League of Conservation Voters . Retrieved July 27, 2023 .
^
"2024 Endorsed Candidates" . LGBT+ Democrats of Virginia . Retrieved May 6, 2024 .
^ NCPSSM.
"National Seniors' Advocacy Group Endorses Sen. Tim Kaine for Re-Election" . NCPSSM . Retrieved January 5, 2024 .
^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023).
"NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents" . NRDC Action Fund . Retrieved September 20, 2023 .
^
"Virginia - COMPAC Endorsements" . United Mine Workers of America . Retrieved April 2, 2024 .
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