Week 1

96S.INVEST

Newly up on FNMOC and NRL at 10S 131E, Arafura Sea/ Timor Sea. - SpL o T | '07 _{(* C*+ u+ g)} 15:17, 5 January 2007 (UTC) reply

BOM not expecting a tropical cyclone to develop within 3 days. RaNdOm26 06:41, 6 January 2007 (UTC) reply

06R.INVEST

97S.INVEST

18.6ºS 43.6ºE - 15 knots (west of Madagascar) - グリフオーザー 22:39, 5 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Looks like it might be from some part of ex-Clovis. -- RattleMan 01:20, 6 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Perturbation Tropicale 6

Tropical Disturbance 25 knots 1000 hPa - グリフオーザー 06:59, 8 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Week 2

98S.INVEST

10S 54E, 15kt. -- RattleMan 17:59, 7 January 2007 (UTC) reply

06F.INVEST

Tropical Depression 06F

13ºS 167ºW 1004 hPa moving slowly TC development currently not anticipated - グリフオーザー 03:53, 10 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Bad spelling error: MOST GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKLED UP
THE SYSTEM BUT SHOW NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. – Ch acor 12:33, 10 January 2007 (UTC) reply

13.5ºS 166.5ºW 1002 hPa - グリフオーザー 03:01, 12 January 2007 (UTC) reply

22.8ºS 152.1ºW 1002 hPa - グリフオーザー 21:58, 16 January 2007 (UTC) reply

22.0ºS 153.1ºW 1000 hPa, llcc exposed and is extratopical in nature. - グリフオーザー 00:33, 18 January 2007 (UTC) reply

99P.INVEST

Now on NRL as 99P, 13.9S 171.2W. -- Core desat 18:24, 10 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Gone from NRL and FNMOC. - SpL o T _{(* C*+ u+ g)} 11:15, 12 January 2007 (UTC) reply

99S.INVEST

New one at 15S 170E. - SpL o T _{(* C*+ u+ g)} 14:29, 10 January 2007 (UTC) reply

hmm South Indian Ocean? - グリフオーザー 15:24, 10 January 2007 (UTC) reply

No, South Pacific. Note proximity to IDL. - SpL o T _{(* C*+ u+ g)} 15:35, 10 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Probably an error. – Ch acor 22:59, 10 January 2007 (UTC) reply

yep its an error, its been renamed 99P Jason Rees 23:48, 10 January 2007 (UTC) reply

No it hasn't been renamed, they are different systems. – Ch acor 02:23, 11 January 2007 (UTC) reply

90S.INVEST

New invest near 16.3S 39.9E. Looks pretty decent but is a bit less than halfway over land. -- Core desat 10:14, 11 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Now almost in Mozambique Channel. - SpL o T _{(* C*+ u+ g)} 11:22, 12 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Gone. -- Core desat 22:24, 14 January 2007 (UTC) reply

91S.INVEST

15.3S 126.4E - SpL o T _{(* C*+ u+ g)} 11:23, 12 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Looks nice, but it's already over land...-- Irfan Faiz 13:34, 13 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Not expected to move offshore, so a tropical cyclone isn't likely. It will deliver monsoonal rain up to 200mm in the Kimberley. RaNdOm26 07:54, 14 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Week 3

92P.INVEST

10ºS 173ºW - グリフオーザー 03:42, 15 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Marine Bulletin:
WEAK LOW [1000 HPA] NEAR 12S 173W SLOW MOVING - グリフオーザー 19:51, 15 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Tropical Disturbance [1002 HPA] 12S 170W Slow Moving - グリフオーザー 21:56, 16 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Gone from NRL. -- Core desat 07:39, 17 January 2007 (UTC) reply

09P.ARTHUR [08F]

93P.INVEST

6.2S 179.9E - グリフオーザー 06:04, 16 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Tropical Disturbance Summary
Tropical Disturbance (NO NUMBER) 11.5ºS 176.0ºW 1001 hPa - グリフオーザー 07:27, 17 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Tropical Depression 08F

Center was located near 11.9S 176.4W Jason Rees 14:34, 21 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Lots of convection at the center. [1]-- Irfan Faiz 13:39, 22 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Samoa Special Advisory:
Expect rain becoming more frequent and heavy with squally thunderstorms. Flooding including flooding of low lying coastal areas expected - グリフオーザー 06:53, 23 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Tropical Cyclone Arthur

cyclone strength now with sustained winds of 35 to 40 knots near the center - グリフオーザー 18:49, 24 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Tropical Cyclone Alert for Southern Cook Islands - グリフオーザー 19:29, 24 January 2007 (UTC) reply

An eyewall is developing in it's center [2]. -- Irfan Faiz 22:29, 24 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Tropical Cyclone Warning Enforced [ Southern Cook Is] -- グリフオーザー 02:05, 25 January 2007 (UTC) reply

94S.INVEST

12.8S 74E 1006 mb - グリフオーザー 07:43, 16 January 2007 (UTC) reply

-gone - グリフオーザー 07:43, 17 January 2007 (UTC) reply

It's still on FNMOC, but it's as good as gone. -- Core desat 07:46, 17 January 2007 (UTC) reply

94S.INVEST (new)

5.7ºS 91.1ºE 15 knots 1006 mb (new system) - グリフオーザー 08:21, 18 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Looks neat. [3] -- RattleMan 08:55, 18 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Well and truly gone. RaNdOm26 19:28, 25 January 2007 (UTC) reply

95S.INVEST

21.3ºS 38.6ºE 15 knots 1006 mb - グリフオーザー 21:54, 18 January 2007 (UTC) reply

96P.INVEST

15.0ºS 155.0ºW 15 knots - VOFFA

Gone. -- Core desat 02:59, 21 January 2007 (UTC) reply

97S.INVEST

21.0ºS 41.0ºE 15 knots - VOFFA

08P.ZITA [07F]

98S.INVEST

Just appeared, near 11.4S 165.6W. Looks pretty good. -- Core desat 02:59, 21 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Tropical Disturbance 07F

TD 7F now ( http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/10140.txt) Jason Rees 21:43, 17 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Tropical Depression 07F

Tropical disturbance summary now notes as Tropical Depression - グリフオーザー 09:12, 18 January 2007 (UTC) reply

No tropical disturbance summary now. RaNdOm26 22:41, 18 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Thats wired no advisory from Figi. i just checked the australian site to see if they have got anything as they are the back up to Nadiand theres nothing Jason Rees 00:15, 19 January 2007 (UTC) reply

3:30am UTC: tropical disturbance summary released again. - グリフオーザー 06:09, 19 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Looks pretty good [4] but i cant find anything at the RSMC Nadi website. -- Irfan Faiz 23:22, 20 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Thats the problem with Nadi you dont know where the advisory will be unlike the NHC if theres no advisory on the stroms just go through the ndai homepage and look for a marine bulliten or go to the JTWC and the Central Pacfic Hurrcane center where applicable Jason Rees 14:16, 21 January 2007 (UTC) EDIT yeah and 7F does look good Jason Rees 14:25, 21 January 2007 (UTC) There is a TCFA on this storm now so is this Zita ? Jason Rees 22:31, 21 January 2007 (UTC) reply

The latest JTWC bulletin said, wind shear is low over the center of the tropical depression and development maybe expected in the next 24 hours. -- Irfan Faiz 23:05, 21 January 2007 (UTC) reply

I had to sort out some section woes due to confusion on RSMC Nadi - 93P is actually TD 08F; 98P is TD 07F. -- Core desat 01:44, 22 January 2007 (UTC) reply

TD 07F is being torn apart now, TD 08F looks ok to me. -- Irfan Faiz 06:49, 22 January 2007 (UTC) reply

JTWC: issues tropical cyclone formation alert for this system (98P) - グリフオーザー 19:28, 22 January 2007 (UTC) reply

It looks better than before... looks like a Tropical Storm in satellite images. - Irfan Faiz 21:59, 22 January 2007 (UTC) reply

08P.NONAME

JTWC has issued warnings for this system. - グリフオーザー 23:44, 22 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Tropical Cyclone Zita

Now Tropical Cyclone Zita from RSMC Nadi. First advisory is not yet out, but it's in the tropical disturbance summary. -- Core desat 00:05, 23 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Week 4

10S.DORA [07R]

99S.INVEST

Found it in FNMOC and NRL, so I've put it in. 15 knots. Location? RaNdOm26 19:28, 25 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Location just appeared, 8.0S 70.7E. -- Core desat 23:42, 25 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Earlier today NRL posted 90S using nearly the same region as this disturbance. - グリフオーザー 05:50, 26 January 2007 (UTC) reply

1800z JTWC - グリフオーザー 22:25, 26 January 2007 (UTC) reply
Area of convection near 7.3ºS 68.4ºE or 235 nm west of Diego Garcia. The imagery shows a consolidating low level with weak convective banding on the northeast and southwest periphery of the low level circulation center. Analysis shows the disturbance is within favorable region that should help maintain a deep convection with low vertical wind shear.
maximum sustained winds is 15 to 20 knots with a center pressure of 1008 mb. development of this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone is poor.

Perturbation Tropicale (07-20062007)

0630am: 7.9S 66.7E - 20 knots 1003 hPa -- グリフオーザー 07:11, 28 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Tropical Cyclone 10S

on NRL now 84.9.51.41 18:46, 28 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Tempête Tropicale Moderée Dora

Named Dora. – Chacor 14:31, 29 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Forte Tempête Tropicale Dora

12:00am UTC: 50 knots 985 hPa - グリフオーザー 01:05, 30 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Cyclone Tropical Dora

0600 UTC: 70 65 kt, 970 hPa. Expected to strengthen a little, then weaken over the next 72 hours. -- Core desat 07:45, 1 February 2007 (UTC) reply

Dora's eye is began to become slightly more rounder on VIS images. I don't seem to understand the advisories by Meteo France. -- Irfan Faiz 12:56, 1 February 2007 (UTC) reply

Maybe because they're not in English. Yes, I'm being sarcastic. Here's their broken English equivalent advisory: [5] – Chacor 14:08, 1 February 2007 (UTC) reply

Cyclone Tropical Intense Dora

NATURE DU SYSTEME DEPRESSIONNAIRE TROPICAL 
PRESENT SUR LE SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN


CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE DORA

PRESSION ESTIMEE AU CENTRE : 942 HPA.
POSITION LE 02 FEVRIER A 22 HEURES LOCALES:  18.1 SUD / 67.9 EST
(DIX-HUIT DEGRES UN SUD ET SOIXANTE-SEPT DEGRES NEUF EST).

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 5.5/5.5 /D  0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 942 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 95 KT
 
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS AN IMPRESSIVE ANNULAR CYCLONE WHICH DEEP
CONVECTION HAS BECOME COOLER AND EYE WARMER IMAGE AFTER IMAGE (AMSU 0909S
, 1047Z, SSMI 1355Z, SSMIS 1557Z).

[6]. NRL has it as 115kt. -- RattleMan 18:58, 2 February 2007 (UTC) reply

Annular? wow... -- Irfan Faiz 02:17, 3 February 2007 (UTC) reply

90P.INVEST

6.0S 179.9W, 15 kt and no pressure. -- Core desat 22:04, 26 January 2007 (UTC) reply

11.1S, 170W, 15kt, 1006mb, looks interesting. – Chacor 14:29, 29 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Week 5

91S.INVEST

19.7S 49.2E, appears to be over land. -- Core desat 03:02, 28 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Not in NRL.... RaNdOm26 03:45, 29 January 2007 (UTC) reply

It was a quick "here and gone" invest. -- RattleMan 03:51, 29 January 2007 (UTC) reply

92P.INVEST

11.5S 140.6E, 15kt, 1006mb. -- RattleMan 21:14, 28 January 2007 (UTC) reply

BOM doesn't expect any development of a tropical cyclone within 3 days. RaNdOm26 03:45, 29 January 2007 (UTC) reply

JTWC poor. – Chacor 09:52, 29 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Now at 14.2S, 143.5E (over the Cape York Peninsula). Still POOR from JTWC. BOM:

An active monsoon trough lies over central Cape York Peninsula and through the
western Coral Sea. At the present time there are no significant tropical lows
embedded in this trough, however computer models point to the development of a
significant tropical low over the western Coral Sea by Friday.
The potential for a tropical cyclone to develop before Friday is low. – Chacor 13:10, 30 January 2007 (UTC) reply

93S.INVEST

14.8S 128.3E, 15kt, 1006mb. -- RattleMan 21:14, 28 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Same as above. RaNdOm26 03:45, 29 January 2007 (UTC) reply

Looks almost dead now. – Chacor 14:30, 29 January 2007 (UTC) reply

94S.INVEST

Newly up, 18.3S, 41.1E, 15kt. Just off the western Madagascar coast. – Chacor 14:30, 29 January 2007 (UTC) reply

12P.NELSON

95P/95S.INVEST

12.0S 132.3E, between Arafura and Timor Sea, near Darwin. - SpL o T // 08:23, 30 January 2007 (UTC) reply

NRL now has a 95S (same system), as well as 95P, listed. FMNOC has only 95S. – Chacor 13:17, 30 January 2007 (UTC) reply

TCWC Darwin Tropical Low

A weak tropical low, 1006 hPa, is situated over Melville Island. The low is expected to move slowly east and gradually deepen during the next three days.
If the low moves offshore, the potential for development into a Tropical Cyclone in the southern Arafura Sea or Gulf of Carpentaria is estimated to be:
Wednesday: low,
Thursday: low,
Friday: moderate.

– Chacor 13:05, 30 January 2007 (UTC) reply

A developing TROPICAL LOW, 1003 hPa situated north of the Arnhem coast near or about 100 km north of Milingimbi.

Potential of TC Development Outlook
Today-Thursday = low
Friday = Moderate
Saturday = Moderate to High —The preceding unsigned comment was added by VOFFA ( talk • contribs).

Tropical Cyclone Advise #1
11.3ºS 135.6ºE - 25 knots 1001 hPa

A CYCLONE WATCH is now current from Elcho Island to Numbulwar, including Nhulunbuy and Groote Eylandt.
- グリフオーザー 08:19, 31 January 2007 (UTC) reply

TCFA. -- Core desat 07:42, 1 February 2007 (UTC) reply

Deepened to 998 hPa per the latest marine bulletin, expected to become a TC within 18-24 hours. -- Core desat 22:59, 1 February 2007 (UTC) reply

JTWC cancels TCFA, Darwin still forecasts that low may form into a tropical cyclone in 18 hours. - グリフオーザー 05:43, 3 February 2007 (UTC) reply

Seems to be redeveloping, and it's huge. [7]-- Irfan Faiz 22:16, 3 February 2007 (UTC) reply

Tropical Cyclone Nelson

cyclone moved into Brisbane Area of Responsibility and was named "Nelson" with a low pressure of 992hpa. - グリフオーザー 22:18, 5 February 2007 (UTC) reply

Brisbane put Nelson near Cairns with max wind 25kt at T+48. I wonder if it will redevelop in the Pacific. [8] The wind/gust problem caused a number of questions last season. Having the technical summary, I hope it would be clearar.

Now a Cat. 2 - Strongest of the season in Australia so far! Looks like it might cross into the Coral Sea, looking at the forecast track map. RaNdOm26 11:41, 6 February 2007 (UTC) reply

Interestingly, the system to cross Corol Sea is considered as a new low. Momoko 04:45, 7 February 2007 (UTC) reply